Dissection of Hazardous Climate and Farmer-herder Conflicts in Nigeria

Abstract

issects hazardous climate on the conflicts in terms of duration, incidents, and
deaths. Relying on data from Nigerian Security Tracker, Nigeria Watch, World
Bank’s Climate Portal, Climate.org, and the Federal Ministry of Environment,
from 2014 to 2019, this study analyses the temporal and spatial dimensions of
the conflicts using regression - a statistical technique used to examine the correlations
between two or more variables having cause-effect relations which also have
predictive abilities. This study found evidence that temperature, rainfall, and
droughts are climatic factors that influence the farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria.
In addition, the study found some seasonal and spatial patterns with North
Central region of the country being the hard-hit.