Dissection of Hazardous Climate and Farmer-herder Conflicts in Nigeria

Abstract

This study analyses the impacts of hazardous climate on Nigeria’s farmer-herder conflicts. Using variables - temperature, 
droughts, and rainfall – this paper dissects hazardous climate on the conflicts in terms of duration, incidents, and deaths. 
Relying on data from Nigerian Security Tracker, Nigeria Watch, World Bank’s Climate Portal, Climate.org, and the Federal 
Ministry of Environment, from 2014 to 2019, this study analyses the temporal and spatial dimensions of the conflicts using 
regression - a statistical technique used to examine the correlations between two or more variables having cause-effect 
relations which also have predictive abilities. This study found evidence that temperature, rainfall, and droughts are climatic 
factors that influence the farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria. In addition, the study found some seasonal and spatial patterns 
with North Central region of the country being the hard-hit.